[Source: Journal of Travel Medicine, full page: (LINK). Summary, edited.]
Title: Serial Interval Distribution of SARS-CoV-2 Infection in Brazil
Running Title: Serial Interval Distribution of SARS-CoV-2 Infection in Brazil
Carlos A. Prete Jr1 (MSc), Lewis Buss2 (MD), Amy Dighe3 (PhD), Victor Bertollo Porto4 (PhD), Darlan da Silva Candido5 (MSc), Fábio Ghilardi2 (MD), Oliver G. Pybus5 (PhD), Wanderson K. de Oliveira4 (PhD), Júlio H. R. Croda4 (PhD), Ester C. Sabino2 (PhD), Nuno Rodrigues Faria2,3,5 (PhD), Christl A. Donnelly3,6 (PhD), Vítor H. Nascimento1 (PhD).
1. Department of Electronic Systems Engineering, University of São Paulo, Brazil; 2. Instituto de Medicina Tropical, University of São Paulo, Brazil; 3. MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Department of Infectious Disease; Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, United Kingdom; 4. Secretaria de Vigilância em Saúde, Ministério da Saúde, Brazil; 5. Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, United Kingdom; 6. Department of Statistics, University of Oxford, United Kingdom
© International Society of Travel Medicine 2020.
Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/jtm/article-abstract/doi/10.1093/jtm/taaa115/5876265 by guest on 25 July 2020
UNCORRECTED MANUSCRIPT
Funding: This work was supported by a Medical Research Council (MR/S0195/1) and FAPESP (2018/14389-0) CADDE partnership award and a John Fell Research Fund (grant 005166). NRF is supported by a Wellcome Trust and Royal Society Sir Henry Dale Fellowship (204311/Z/16/Z). DDSC is supported by the Clarendon Fund and by the Oxford University Zoology Department. CAPJ and VHN are supported in part by grants from FAPESP (2018/12579-7), CNPq (304714/2018-6) and CAPES (Finance code 001). CAD is thankful for Centre funding from the UK Medical Research Council (MRC) and the UK Department for International Development (DFID) under the MRC/DFID Concordat agreement and is also part of the EDCTP2 programme supported by the European Union (MR/R015600/1). AD is also supported by the UK Medical Research Council (MRC).
Contact details of corresponding author: Vítor H. Nascimento (vitnasci@usp.br) Department of Electronic Systems Engineering, University of São Paulo, Brazil Phone Number: +55-11-99293-5264
Corresponding Address: Dept. de Engenharia de Sistemas Eletrônicos, Escola Politécnica da Univ. de São Paulo – Av. Prof. Luciano Gualberto, trav. 3, n. 158, São Paulo, SP, Brazil. ZIP Code: 05508-900.
Highlights
Using 65 transmission pairs of SARS-CoV-2 reported to the Brazilian Ministry of Health we estimate the mean and standard deviation for the serial interval to be 2.97 and 3.29 days respectively. We also present a model for the serial interval probability distribution using only two parameters.
–
Keywords: SARS-CoV-2; COVID-19; Epidemiology; Brazil.
——