#Likelihood of #survival of #coronavirus disease 2019 (Lancet Infect Dis., summary)

[Source: The Lancet Infectious Diseases, full page: (LINKLINK). Summary, edited.]

Likelihood of survival of coronavirus disease 2019

Shigui Ruan

Open Access | Published: March 30, 2020 | DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30257-7

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A case fatality ratio of an infectious disease measures the proportion of all individuals diagnosed with a disease who will die from that disease. For an emerging infectious disease, this ratio is thus a very important indicator not only of disease severity but also of its significance as a public health problem. For instance, WHO estimated a case fatality ratio of approximately 14–15% for severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) in 2003,1
and approximately 35% for Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) in 2012.2

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Keywords: SARS-CoV-2; COVID-19.

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Giuseppe Michieli

I am an Italian blogger, active since 2005 with main focus on emerging infectious diseases such as avian influenza, SARS, antibiotics resistance, and many other global Health issues. Other fields of interest are: climate change, global warming, geological and biological sciences. My activity consists mainly in collection and analysis of news, public services updates, confronting sources and making decision about what are the 'signals' of an impending crisis (an outbreak, for example). When a signal is detected, I follow traces during the entire course of an event. I started in 2005 my blog ''A TIME'S MEMORY'', now with more than 40,000 posts and 3 millions of web interactions. Subsequently I added an Italian Language blog, then discontinued because of very low traffic and interest. I contributed for seven years to a public forum (FluTrackers.com) in the midst of the Ebola epidemic in West Africa in 2014, I left the site to continue alone my data tracking job.