[Source: Eurosurveillance, full page: (LINK). Abstract, edited.]
Real-time tentative assessment of the epidemiological characteristics of novel coronavirus infections in Wuhan, China, as at 22 January 2020
Peng Wu1, Xinxin Hao1, Eric H Y Lau1, Jessica Y Wong1, Kathy S M Leung1, Joseph T Wu1, Benjamin J Cowling1,2, Gabriel M Leung1,2
Affiliations: 1 World Health Organization (WHO) Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China; 2 These authors are joint senior authors with equal contribution
Correspondence: Benjamin J Cowling
Citation style for this article: Wu Peng, Hao Xinxin, Lau Eric H Y, Wong Jessica Y, Leung Kathy S M, Wu Joseph T, Cowling Benjamin J, Leung Gabriel M. Real-time tentative assessment of the epidemiological characteristics of novel coronavirus infections in Wuhan, China, as at 22 January 2020. Euro Surveill. 2020;25(3):pii=2000044. https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.3.2000044
Received: 21 Jan 2020; Accepted: 23 Jan 2020
A novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) causing severe acute respiratory disease emerged recently in Wuhan, China. Information on reported cases strongly indicates human-to-human spread, and the most recent information is increasingly indicative of sustained human-to-human transmission. While the overall severity profile among cases may change as more mild cases are identified, we estimate a risk of fatality among hospitalised cases at 14% (95% confidence interval: 3.9–32%).
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Keywords: 2019-nCoV; China.