Real-time tentative #assessment of the #epidemiological characteristics of novel #coronavirus infections in #Wuhan, #China, as at 22 January 2020 (Euro Surveill., abstract)

[Source: Eurosurveillance, full page: (LINK). Abstract, edited.]

Real-time tentative assessment of the epidemiological characteristics of novel coronavirus infections in Wuhan, China, as at 22 January 2020

Peng Wu1, Xinxin Hao1, Eric H Y Lau1, Jessica Y Wong1, Kathy S M Leung1, Joseph T Wu1, Benjamin J Cowling1,2, Gabriel M Leung1,2

Affiliations: 1 World Health Organization (WHO) Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China; 2 These authors are joint senior authors with equal contribution

Correspondence:  Benjamin J Cowling

Citation style for this article: Wu Peng, Hao Xinxin, Lau Eric H Y, Wong Jessica Y, Leung Kathy S M, Wu Joseph T, Cowling Benjamin J, Leung Gabriel M. Real-time tentative assessment of the epidemiological characteristics of novel coronavirus infections in Wuhan, China, as at 22 January 2020. Euro Surveill. 2020;25(3):pii=2000044. https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.3.2000044

Received: 21 Jan 2020;   Accepted: 23 Jan 2020

 

Abstract

A novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) causing severe acute respiratory disease emerged recently in Wuhan, China. Information on reported cases strongly indicates human-to-human spread, and the most recent information is increasingly indicative of sustained human-to-human transmission. While the overall severity profile among cases may change as more mild cases are identified, we estimate a risk of fatality among hospitalised cases at 14% (95% confidence interval: 3.9–32%).

©  This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Keywords: 2019-nCoV; China.

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Giuseppe Michieli

I am an Italian blogger, active since 2005 with main focus on emerging infectious diseases such as avian influenza, SARS, antibiotics resistance, and many other global Health issues. Other fields of interest are: climate change, global warming, geological and biological sciences. My activity consists mainly in collection and analysis of news, public services updates, confronting sources and making decision about what are the 'signals' of an impending crisis (an outbreak, for example). When a signal is detected, I follow traces during the entire course of an event. I started in 2005 my blog ''A TIME'S MEMORY'', now with more than 40,000 posts and 3 millions of web interactions. Subsequently I added an Italian Language blog, then discontinued because of very low traffic and interest. I contributed for seven years to a public forum (FluTrackers.com) in the midst of the Ebola epidemic in West Africa in 2014, I left the site to continue alone my data tracking job.